Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246724           1           4          52          38           5        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126364           2           2          63          29           4        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   6.92000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.00        1.50       59.25       33.00        5.25     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8