Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238819           2           3          69          20           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112637           2           5          61          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.97000e-07           2           1          62          35           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.50        9.25       63.00       22.75        2.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5