Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242151           1           2          60          31           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116895           1           1          64          30           4        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.83000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             1.50       12.75       58.50       23.75        3.50     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7