Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249659           3           2          65          23           7        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127236           2           0          63          30           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   6.86000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        1.75       62.50       28.25        5.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0