Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253907           1           4          67          27           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133323           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.19000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =       95.0000           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.75        1.00       62.50       30.50        5.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5