Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253432           1           4          67          27           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00136452           1           1          59          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.82000e-07           1           0          54          38           7        C8.3
est. ISN   =       110.000           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             0.25        1.50       59.75       33.25        5.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6