Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00264656           1           1          57          35           6        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00149984           1           3          66          28           2        C5.2
GOES Xray  =   1.27000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       115.000           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             0.50        1.25       49.50       41.25        7.50     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M6.9