Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261134           1           2          59          35           3        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00148672           1           2          63          31           3        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   9.58000e-07           1           0          40          49          10        M1.1
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.50        2.75       56.75       34.75        5.25     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9