Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257688           1           2          61          34           2        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139196           1           1          61          32           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   9.88000e-07           1           0          35          55           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             1.50        4.25       53.25       36.50        4.50     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7