Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235079           5          11          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107110           3           4          71          19           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.15000e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C2.7
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.75        6.25       69.25       19.50        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6