Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237619           1           7          65          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106408           3           5          69          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   5.64000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.00        5.50       67.00       21.50        4.00     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7