Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239835           1           6          67          21           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106729           3           4          70          18           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.92000e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C5.7
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.75        5.25       65.50       23.25        3.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1