Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239375           1           4          73          17           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106264           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   4.36000e-07           1           2          82          14           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        2.50       74.75       17.00        4.25     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2