Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244239           1           1          62          35           1        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112504           2           5          61          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.34000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.00        4.00       62.25       30.25        2.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1