Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249505           3           3          60          26           8        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119504           1           3          61          32           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   6.96000e-07           1           0          56          36           7        C8.5
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.50        3.50       58.00       31.75        5.25     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3