Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253961           1           4          68          26           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128646           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.73000e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.00        3.25       62.50       29.75        3.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3