Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257755           1           1          62          34           2        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133484           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.57000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             0.75        1.50       59.00       33.75        5.00     C6.9
 
realized                                                                                      C9.6