Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00259936           1           2          60          34           3        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00135606           1           2          58          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.25000e-07           1           0          54          36           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             0.50        1.25       62.00       30.75        5.50     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2