Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00262162           1           1          61          33           4        C6.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139989           1           1          59          33           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   9.18000e-07           1           0          47          44           8        M1.1
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             0.50        0.75       58.00       34.75        6.00     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.1