Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244984           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113107           1           5          61          30           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.72000e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             1.75        8.50       64.25       23.50        2.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8