Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243850           1           1          64          32           2        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111208           3           4          62          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.50000e-07           2           1          83          12           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.25       13.25       61.75       21.00        1.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)