Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243770           1           1          64          32           2        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111271           3           4          62          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.31000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.00       11.00       63.75       21.00        2.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0