Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245381           1           2          62          35           0        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112555           2           5          61          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.99000e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.25        6.75       62.75       28.25        1.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3