Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244593           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110810           3           3          61          30           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   4.91000e-07           3           1          63          32           1        C5.5
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.00        5.50       63.25       27.75        1.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9