Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239943           1           6          67          21           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102610           2          15          63          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.44000e-07           1           1          82          15           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.00       10.75       68.75       15.00        3.50     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4