Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238408           2           5          70          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000995650           2          13          63          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   4.08000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.00       14.00       66.50       14.25        3.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3