Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237847           1           6          66          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000994204           2          14          63          17           4        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.75000e-07           1           5          77          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.25       15.25       64.00       15.50        3.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0