Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239267           1           4          73          17           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102151           3          14          63          16           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.54000e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       13.50       67.75       13.00        3.25     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4