Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240944           1           6          64          23           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103599           2          13          64          14           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   5.05000e-07           2           1          63          33           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50        7.25       62.50       24.50        4.25     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1