Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249965           3           2          67          22           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114731           1           4          64          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   8.14000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.00        2.00       60.75       30.50        5.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7