Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250608           3           2          68          21           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116180           1           2          65          28           4        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   8.32000e-07           1           0          54          37           8        C8.3
est. ISN   =       107.000           1           0          60          32           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.00        1.25       62.00       29.50        6.25     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4