Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247316           1           4          52          38           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113031           1           5          62          29           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.77000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       102.000           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.75        2.50       61.75       31.00        4.00     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7