Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249378           3           3          59          27           8        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113769           1           4          62          30           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.16000e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.00        2.25       61.00       30.75        5.00     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2