Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253417           1           4          67          27           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117243           1           0          65          30           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   7.38000e-07           1           0          50          40           9        C9.9
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.00        4.00       59.50       30.50        4.00     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9