Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252835           2           6          64          27           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116974           1           1          64          30           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   7.37000e-07           1           0          50          40           9        C9.9
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        4.25       57.00       33.00        4.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2