Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248415           2           3          59          29           7        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111681           2           4          63          29           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   5.58000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.25        3.50       65.25       26.50        3.50     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3