Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248733           2           3          58          29           8        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112075           2           5          62          29           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   5.71000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C5.8
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.75        3.75       65.00       26.00        3.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5