Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251953           2           4          65          26           3        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116000           1           2          67          26           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.94000e-07           1           0          56          36           7        C8.5
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.00        4.75       61.00       28.25        4.00     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4