Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250177           3           2          68          21           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110901           3           3          62          29           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   6.66000e-07           1           0          61          31           7        C7.7
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50        6.00       63.00       24.25        4.25     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3