Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242925           1           0          66          29           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101163           2          12          67          17           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   4.74000e-07           2           1          74          22           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.00       10.50       66.75       18.75        2.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0