Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238988           2           4          69          20           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000955238           3          15          54          25           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.71000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       14.50       64.00       16.50        2.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B7.1