Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238701           2           4          71          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954698           3          15          53          26           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.62000e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.75       11.75       65.25       17.50        2.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B9.0