Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239072           2           4          70          18           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961029           3          17          56          21           3        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   3.92000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       19.75       58.25       16.25        2.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B7.3