Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239295           1           4          73          17           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000963943           3          17          54          22           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   3.99000e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       58.0000           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.00       10.50       67.25       17.50        2.75     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5