Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237570           1           7          67          21           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960521           3          17          56          21           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   3.69000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.25       13.00       65.75       16.50        2.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3