Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236323           2          14          58          22           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000942841           1          16          57          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.31000e-07           4           9          73          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       18.75       60.50       16.00        2.25     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2