Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235589           3          11          58          25           3        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927694           1          20          52          25           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.01000e-07           3          17          71           9           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             3.00       23.50       55.50       16.75        1.25     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B9.2