Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235358           4          13          56          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000934306           1          22          50          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.91000e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       34.0000           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.50       26.00       52.25       17.00        1.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1