Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234495           5          11          63          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922293           2          22          51          23           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.84000e-07           2          25          66           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       37.0000           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             3.75       26.75       53.75       14.50        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4