Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239448           1           4          72          18           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000975241           3          17          56          20           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.42000e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.6
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.25       12.00       68.00       14.50        3.25     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6